Bragantino wins by over 2.5 goals?

18¢mid
Bid/Ask 17/19¢·Spread 2¢·Vol $0·OI $0·Closes May 3, 2026·14d remaining
KXBRASILEIROSPREAD-26APR19RBBCR-RBB2
7-day price285 snapshots · 5 regime
17¢1¢Apr 13Apr 19

Analysis

AI-generated · updated daily

This market shows extreme distress signals with a 0¢ current price despite a 2¢ spread and recent volatility—the price jumped from 2¢ to 17¢ over seven days, suggesting either a data anomaly or a liquidity crisis with zero 24-hour volume and open interest. The astronomical 12,331% implied yield on the Yes side and 22,104% realized volatility indicate this is either a broken market or pricing a near-zero probability outcome that experienced a brief spike, making it unreliable for analysis. With 14 days to expiry and a Cliff Risk Index of 5 (highest), this market appears illiquid and potentially mispriced rather than representing genuine predictive value.

Resolution rules

If Bragantino wins by more than 2.5 goals in the Bragantino vs Remo professional Brasileiro soccer game originally scheduled for Apr 19, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 12330.9%
IY (No) 517.3%
Adj IY 12331%
CRI 5
RV 22104%
VR 1.99
▶ Full indicator table (8)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)12330.9%
IY (No)517.3%
Adj IY12331%
CRI5
RV22104%
VR1.99
IAR1.9/h
Overround-0.4%

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.5
Spread
2¢
Computed
4/19/2026, 10:47:23 AM
Indicators computed 4/19/2026, 10:38:32 AM

Trade

View on kalshisf trade KXBRASILEIROSPREAD-26APR19RBBCR-RBB2 yes 100

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