Fluminense wins by over 1.5 goals?

14¢
Bid/Ask 10/11¢·Spread 1¢·Vol $67.37·OI $67.37·Closes May 3, 2026·14d remaining
KXBRASILEIROSPREAD-26APR19SANFLU-FLU1
7-day price277 snapshots · 9 regime
12¢1¢Apr 12Apr 19

Analysis

AI-generated · updated daily

This market displays extreme illiquidity and pricing dysfunction with zero 24-hour volume and open interest despite a 9¢ bid-ask spread, suggesting the 0¢ last price may not reflect genuine market consensus. The astronomical 25,190% implied yield on the Yes side is a classic artifact of near-zero pricing in thin markets rather than a legitimate opportunity. With 15 days to expiry, a 2,692% realized volatility, and a Cliff Risk Index of 10, this appears to be a dead or manipulated market that should be avoided until meaningful liquidity emerges.

Resolution rules

If Fluminense wins by more than 1.5 goals in the Santos vs Fluminense professional Brasileiro soccer game originally scheduled for Apr 19, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 22895.2%
IY (No) 282.7%
Adj IY 22895%
CRI 9
RV 1858%
VR 0.86
▶ Full indicator table (8)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)22895.2%
IY (No)282.7%
Adj IY22895%
CRI9
RV1858%
VR0.86
IAR1.3/h
Overround-0.7%

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.5
Spread
1¢
Computed
4/19/2026, 10:53:36 AM
Indicators computed 4/19/2026, 10:38:32 AM

Trade

View on kalshisf trade KXBRASILEIROSPREAD-26APR19SANFLU-FLU1 yes 100

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