Santos wins by over 1.5 goals?

This market displays extreme illiquidity and pricing dysfunction typical of zero-volume contracts, with the Yes position trading at 0¢ despite a theoretical 11,589% implied yield and recent price movement from 2¢ to 18¢ over seven days, suggesting either stale data or a micro-liquidity event that doesn't reflect genuine market consensus. The 1,577% realized volatility and cliff risk index of 5 indicate severe instability, while the 0¢ current price contradicts the 18¢ recent high, pointing to a potential data lag or failed trade execution. With only $0 open interest and zero 24-hour volume, this contract lacks sufficient depth for meaningful analysis and should be treated as illiquid until volume materializes closer to the May 3, 2026 expiration.

Resolution rules

If Santos wins by more than 1.5 goals in the Santos vs Fluminense professional Brasileiro soccer game originally scheduled for Apr 19, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

Regime

Trade