Santos wins by over 2.5 goals?
Analysis
AI-generated · updated dailyThis market shows extreme illiquidity and pricing dysfunction with zero volume and open interest despite a theoretical 39,854.6% implied yield on the Yes side, suggesting the 0¢ price is likely a stale quote rather than a genuine market consensus. The 7-day price movement from 2¢ to 6¢ indicates some recent activity, but the 1¢ spread and imminent 14-day expiry create significant cliff risk (index of 16), making this unsuitable for meaningful analysis until deeper liquidity emerges. The Santos vs Fluminense matchup on April 19, 2026 would need to be heavily one-sided for a 2.5+ goal margin, which explains the low baseline probability, but the market's complete lack of trading volume prevents reliable probability assessment.
Resolution rules
If Santos wins by more than 2.5 goals in the Santos vs Fluminense professional Brasileiro soccer game originally scheduled for Apr 19, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Indicators
Regime
Trade
sf trade KXBRASILEIROSPREAD-26APR19SANFLU-SAN2 yes 100