Santos wins by over 2.5 goals?

7¢mid
Bid/Ask 6/7¢·Spread 1¢·Vol $0·OI $0·Closes May 3, 2026·14d remaining
KXBRASILEIROSPREAD-26APR19SANFLU-SAN2
7-day price181 snapshots · 3 regime
6¢1¢Apr 12Apr 19

Analysis

AI-generated · updated daily

This market shows extreme illiquidity and pricing dysfunction with zero volume and open interest despite a theoretical 39,854.6% implied yield on the Yes side, suggesting the 0¢ price is likely a stale quote rather than a genuine market consensus. The 7-day price movement from 2¢ to 6¢ indicates some recent activity, but the 1¢ spread and imminent 14-day expiry create significant cliff risk (index of 16), making this unsuitable for meaningful analysis until deeper liquidity emerges. The Santos vs Fluminense matchup on April 19, 2026 would need to be heavily one-sided for a 2.5+ goal margin, which explains the low baseline probability, but the market's complete lack of trading volume prevents reliable probability assessment.

Resolution rules

If Santos wins by more than 2.5 goals in the Santos vs Fluminense professional Brasileiro soccer game originally scheduled for Apr 19, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 39854.6%
IY (No) 162.4%
Adj IY 19927%
CRI 16
Overround -0.7%
▶ Full indicator table (5)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)39854.6%
IY (No)162.4%
Adj IY19927%
CRI16
Overround-0.7%

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.5
Spread
1¢
Computed
4/19/2026, 10:53:12 AM
Indicators computed 4/19/2026, 10:38:32 AM

Trade

View on kalshisf trade KXBRASILEIROSPREAD-26APR19SANFLU-SAN2 yes 100

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