Bitcoin price on Apr 10, 2026?
1¢
Bid/Ask 0/100¢·Spread 100¢·Vol $0·OI $9,403.04·Closes Apr 10, 2026
KXBTCD-26APR1017-T76999.99
7-day price11 snapshots · 9 regime
Analysis
AI-generated · updated dailyThis market is pricing Bitcoin below $77,000 on April 10, 2026 at just 1% probability, implying an extremely bullish consensus that BTC will remain well above that threshold. The 100¢ spread combined with zero 24-hour volume indicates severe illiquidity, making the 1¢ price potentially unreliable and difficult to execute against. The sharp decline from 2¢ to 1¢ over seven days suggests either weakening conviction in the bearish outcome or possible market abandonment, though the $9,403 open interest shows some capital is committed to this position.
Resolution rules
If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) before 5 PM EDT is above 76999.99 at 5 PM EDT on Apr 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Regime
Label
neutral
Score
0.442
Spread
100¢
Computed
4/19/2026, 10:53:12 AM
SF edge -42.0¢ yesObservability lowEvent type financial
Edges (1)
NO +-42¢thesis — US freezes Russian assets, sanctions Iran, bombs Iran — each action tells the wo
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sf trade KXBTCD-26APR1017-T76999.99 yes 100