Will Adley Rutschman lead Pro Baseball in runs for the 2026 regular season?

4¢
Bid/Ask 0/4¢·Spread 4¢·Vol $0·OI $1·Closes Oct 22, 2026·186d remaining
KXLEADERMLBRUNS-26-ARUT

Analysis

AI-generated · updated daily

This market shows extreme illiquidity with only $1 open interest and zero 24-hour volume, making the 4¢ price potentially unreliable. The 4706% implied yield on the Yes side is a classic sign of minimal liquidity rather than genuine edge—such yields typically appear when tiny positions create wide spreads on low-probability outcomes. With 186 days to expiration and a neutral regime, this market lacks sufficient trading activity to serve as a meaningful price discovery mechanism.

Resolution rules

If Adley Rutschman leads Pro Baseball in runs for the 2026 regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 4706.1%
IY (No) 8.2%
Adj IY 2353%
CRI 24
Overround 1.9%
▶ Full indicator table (5)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)4706.1%
IY (No)8.2%
Adj IY2353%
CRI24
Overround1.9%

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.5
Spread
4¢
Computed
4/19/2026, 10:46:42 AM
Indicators computed 4/19/2026, 10:38:32 AM

Trade

View on kalshisf trade KXLEADERMLBRUNS-26-ARUT yes 100

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