Will Bo Bichette lead Pro Baseball in runs for the 2026 regular season?

4¢
Bid/Ask 0/4¢·Spread 4¢·Vol $0·OI $1·Closes Oct 22, 2026·186d remaining
KXLEADERMLBRUNS-26-BBIC

Analysis

AI-generated · updated daily

This market exhibits extreme illiquidity with only $1 open interest and zero 24-hour volume, making the 4¢ price potentially unreliable. The 4706% implied yield on the Yes side is a statistical artifact of the microscopic position size rather than genuine opportunity, and the 24 Cliff Risk Index suggests significant resolution uncertainty. Bo Bichette, now 61 years old and retired since 2001, leading MLB in runs in 2026 is effectively impossible, indicating this market may be a test listing or data error rather than a serious prediction contract.

Resolution rules

If Bo Bichette leads Pro Baseball in runs for the 2026 regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 4706.1%
IY (No) 8.2%
Adj IY 2353%
CRI 24
Overround 1.9%
▶ Full indicator table (5)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)4706.1%
IY (No)8.2%
Adj IY2353%
CRI24
Overround1.9%

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.5
Spread
4¢
Computed
4/19/2026, 10:49:11 AM
Indicators computed 4/19/2026, 10:38:32 AM

Trade

View on kalshisf trade KXLEADERMLBRUNS-26-BBIC yes 100

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