Will Brent Rooker lead Pro Baseball in runs for the 2026 regular season?

4¢

Bid/Ask 0/4¢·Spread 4¢·Vol $0·OI $1·Closes Oct 22, 2026·186d remaining

KXLEADERMLBRUNS-26-BROO

Analysis

AI-generated · updated daily

This market shows extreme illiquidity with only $1 open interest and zero 24-hour volume, making the 4700% implied yield on the Yes side largely theoretical rather than actionable. The 4¢ price reflects a highly skeptical view of Rooker leading MLB in runs—a feat requiring him to significantly outperform elite baserunners—though the massive yield spread (4700% vs 8.2%) suggests minimal market confidence in either outcome. With 186 days to expiration and a Cliff Risk Index of 24, this appears to be a novelty or test market with insufficient liquidity for meaningful trading.

Resolution rules

If Brent Rooker leads Pro Baseball in runs for the 2026 regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 4706.1%

IY (No) 8.2%

Adj IY 0%

CRI 24

Overround 1.9%

LAS 1.00

▶ Full indicator table (6)

Indicator	Value	Meaning
IY (Yes)	4706.1%	Annualized return if held to expiry, YES side
IY (No)	8.2%	Annualized return, NO side
Adj IY	0%	Risk-adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets and high friction
CRI	24	Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market approaches resolution
Overround	1.9%	Multi-outcome arb signal across the event family
LAS	1.00	Liquidity Availability Score

Regime

Label

neutral

Score

0.5

Spread

4¢

Computed

4/19/2026, 10:52:16 AM

Has orderbookIndicators computed 4/19/2026, 10:38:32 AM

Trade

View on kalshi →sf trade KXLEADERMLBRUNS-26-BROO yes 100

Related concepts

Implied Yield →Cliff Risk Index →