Will Cal Raleigh lead Pro Baseball in runs for the 2026 regular season?

This market shows extreme illiquidity with only $1 open interest and zero 24-hour volume, making the 4706% implied yield on the Yes side largely theoretical rather than actionable. Cal Raleigh leading MLB in runs is a highly unlikely outcome given he's a catcher (historically a low-volume position) competing against outfielders and designated hitters, which appropriately justifies the 4% pricing, though the massive yield spread (4706% vs 8.2%) reflects the illiquidity rather than genuine edge. With 186 days to expiry and a Cliff Risk Index of 24, this market lacks sufficient depth for meaningful trading and would require significant capital commitment to move prices meaningfully.

Resolution rules

If Cal Raleigh leads Pro Baseball in runs for the 2026 regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.

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