Will Corey Seager lead Pro Baseball in runs for the 2026 regular season?

4¢
Bid/Ask 0/4¢·Spread 4¢·Vol $0·OI $1·Closes Oct 22, 2026·186d remaining
KXLEADERMLBRUNS-26-CSEA

Analysis

AI-generated · updated daily

This market shows extreme illiquidity with only $1 open interest and zero 24-hour volume, making the 4¢ price potentially unreliable. The 4706% implied yield on the Yes side is a classic sign of minimal liquidity rather than genuine edge—such yields typically appear when markets have negligible trading activity and wide spreads. While Seager is a talented player, a 4% probability of leading all MLB in runs is plausible given the difficulty of that feat, but traders should be cautious about the market's thin depth with 186 days until expiration.

Resolution rules

If Corey Seager leads Pro Baseball in runs for the 2026 regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 4706.1%
IY (No) 8.2%
Adj IY 2353%
CRI 24
Overround 1.9%
▶ Full indicator table (5)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)4706.1%
IY (No)8.2%
Adj IY2353%
CRI24
Overround1.9%

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.5
Spread
4¢
Computed
4/19/2026, 10:47:27 AM
Indicators computed 4/19/2026, 10:38:32 AM

Trade

View on kalshisf trade KXLEADERMLBRUNS-26-CSEA yes 100

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