Will Francisco Lindor lead Pro Baseball in runs for the 2026 regular season?

This market shows extreme mispricing with a 4701% implied yield on the Yes side, suggesting the 4¢ price dramatically undervalues Lindor's chances of leading MLB in runs—a feat requiring roughly 130+ runs that only elite, injury-free players typically achieve. The $0 24-hour volume and $225 open interest indicate severe illiquidity, making the wide 4¢ spread unreliable and creating execution risk for any meaningful position. With 186 days to expiration and a Cliff Risk Index of 24, this market carries substantial uncertainty, though the neutral regime and thin positioning suggest the extreme odds may reflect genuine skepticism about Lindor's durability rather than a true arbitrage opportunity.

Resolution rules

If Francisco Lindor leads Pro Baseball in runs for the 2026 regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.

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