Will Geraldo Perdomo lead Pro Baseball in runs for the 2026 regular season?

4¢
Bid/Ask 0/4¢·Spread 4¢·Vol $0·OI $1·Closes Oct 22, 2026·186d remaining
KXLEADERMLBRUNS-26-GPER

Analysis

AI-generated · updated daily

This market shows extreme illiquidity with only $1 open interest and zero 24-hour volume, making the 4706% implied yield on the Yes side largely theoretical rather than actionable. The 4¢ price reflects an extremely unlikely outcome—Perdomo leading MLB in runs would be a historic statistical anomaly given he's a utility infielder who rarely qualifies for batting titles—but the negligible liquidity means this probability estimate carries minimal weight. The 186-day timeframe to expiry provides adequate runway, but traders should avoid this market unless seeking to establish a micro-position purely for entertainment value.

Resolution rules

If Geraldo Perdomo leads Pro Baseball in runs for the 2026 regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 4706.1%
IY (No) 8.2%
Adj IY 2353%
CRI 24
Overround 1.9%
▶ Full indicator table (5)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)4706.1%
IY (No)8.2%
Adj IY2353%
CRI24
Overround1.9%

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.5
Spread
4¢
Computed
4/19/2026, 10:47:41 AM
Indicators computed 4/19/2026, 10:38:32 AM

Trade

View on kalshisf trade KXLEADERMLBRUNS-26-GPER yes 100

Related concepts