Will Gleyber Torres lead Pro Baseball in runs for the 2026 regular season?

4¢
Bid/Ask 0/4¢·Spread 4¢·Vol $0·OI $1·Closes Oct 22, 2026·186d remaining
KXLEADERMLBRUNS-26-GTOR

Analysis

AI-generated · updated daily

This market shows extreme illiquidity with only $1 open interest and zero 24-hour volume, making the 4¢ price potentially unreliable. The 4704% implied yield on the Yes side is a classic sign of minimal liquidity rather than genuine edge—such yields typically appear on micro-markets where even small positions create outsized percentage returns. With 186 days to expiration and a 24 Cliff Risk Index, this contract carries meaningful execution risk, and traders should be cautious that the theoretical payout doesn't reflect realistic market depth.

Resolution rules

If Gleyber Torres leads Pro Baseball in runs for the 2026 regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 4706.1%
IY (No) 8.2%
Adj IY 0%
CRI 24
Overround 1.9%
LAS 1.00
▶ Full indicator table (6)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)4706.1%
IY (No)8.2%
Adj IY0%
CRI24
Overround1.9%
LAS1.00

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.5
Spread
4¢
Computed
4/19/2026, 10:47:39 AM
Has orderbookIndicators computed 4/19/2026, 10:38:32 AM

Trade

View on kalshisf trade KXLEADERMLBRUNS-26-GTOR yes 100

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