Will José Altuve lead Pro Baseball in runs for the 2026 regular season?

4¢
Bid/Ask 0/4¢·Spread 4¢·Vol $0·OI $1·Closes Oct 22, 2026·186d remaining
KXLEADERMLBRUNS-26-JALT

Analysis

AI-generated · updated daily

This market shows extreme illiquidity with only $1 open interest and zero 24-hour volume, making the 4% price potentially unreliable. The 4682% implied yield on the Yes side is a classic artifact of minimal liquidity rather than genuine opportunity, as even a single contract fill could dramatically shift pricing. At 187 days to expiration, there's adequate time for fundamental shifts, but the negligible trading activity and tight spread suggest this contract lacks sufficient market depth to be actionable.

Resolution rules

If José Altuve leads Pro Baseball in runs for the 2026 regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 4706.1%
IY (No) 8.2%
Adj IY 2353%
CRI 24
Overround 1.9%
▶ Full indicator table (5)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)4706.1%
IY (No)8.2%
Adj IY2353%
CRI24
Overround1.9%

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.5
Spread
4¢
Computed
4/19/2026, 10:48:01 AM
Indicators computed 4/19/2026, 10:38:32 AM

Trade

View on kalshisf trade KXLEADERMLBRUNS-26-JALT yes 100

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