Will Jeremy Peña lead Pro Baseball in runs for the 2026 regular season?

This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume and only $151 open interest, making the 4¢ price potentially unreliable. The 4698% implied yield on the Yes side is a classic sign of an illiquid micro-market where the tiny position size creates outsized percentage returns, though the actual dollar gains would be modest. With 186 days to expiration and a Cliff Risk Index of 24, this contract carries meaningful execution risk, and traders should be cautious that the quoted price may not reflect true consensus probability for a player with limited historical run-scoring volume.

Resolution rules

If Jeremy Peña leads Pro Baseball in runs for the 2026 regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.

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