Will José Ramírez lead Pro Baseball in runs for the 2026 regular season?

4¢
Bid/Ask 0/4¢·Spread 4¢·Vol $0·OI $227·Closes Oct 22, 2026·186d remaining
KXLEADERMLBRUNS-26-JRAM

Analysis

AI-generated · updated daily

This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume and only $227 open interest, making the 4706% implied yield on the Yes side largely theoretical and unreliable for actual trading. The 4¢ price appears misproportionately low for a player of Ramírez's caliber—he finished 2024 with 111 runs and consistently ranks among baseball's elite contact hitters—suggesting either minimal market participation or significant underpricing. With 186 days to expiry and a high cliff risk index of 24, this contract carries substantial execution risk and should be approached cautiously given the illiquidity constraints.

Resolution rules

If José Ramírez leads Pro Baseball in runs for the 2026 regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 4706.1%
IY (No) 8.2%
Adj IY 2353%
CRI 24
Overround 1.9%
▶ Full indicator table (5)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)4706.1%
IY (No)8.2%
Adj IY2353%
CRI24
Overround1.9%

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.5
Spread
4¢
Computed
4/19/2026, 10:46:22 AM
Indicators computed 4/19/2026, 10:38:32 AM

Trade

View on kalshisf trade KXLEADERMLBRUNS-26-JRAM yes 100

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