Will Jacob Wilson lead Pro Baseball in runs for the 2026 regular season?

This market shows extreme illiquidity with only $1 open interest and zero 24-hour volume, making the 4696% implied yield on the Yes side largely theoretical rather than actionable. The 4¢ price reflects a heavily skeptical market on Wilson leading MLB in runs—a genuinely difficult feat requiring both elite performance and substantial playing time—though the negligible liquidity means this probability estimate carries minimal weight. With 187 days to expiration and a high cliff risk index of 24, this appears to be a speculative long-shot bet with minimal market depth rather than a reliable prediction vehicle.

Resolution rules

If Jacob Wilson leads Pro Baseball in runs for the 2026 regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.

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