Will James Wood lead Pro Baseball in runs for the 2026 regular season?
4¢
Bid/Ask 0/4¢·Spread 4¢·Vol $0·OI $1·Closes Oct 22, 2026·186d remaining
KXLEADERMLBRUNS-26-JWOO
Analysis
AI-generated · updated dailyThis market is severely illiquid with only $1 open interest and zero 24-hour volume, making the 4696.9% implied yield on the Yes side largely theoretical rather than actionable. The extreme yield disparity between Yes (4696.9%) and No (8.2%) suggests the 4¢ price reflects minimal conviction rather than genuine probability assessment, likely due to the market's ghost-town status. With 187 days to expiry and a Cliff Risk Index of 24, traders should be cautious about the reliability of this pricing given the negligible liquidity and potential for sharp repricing once meaningful volume emerges.
Resolution rules
If James Wood leads Pro Baseball in runs for the 2026 regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Indicators
Regime
Label
neutral
Score
0.5
Spread
4¢
Computed
4/19/2026, 10:49:09 AM
Indicators computed 4/19/2026, 10:38:32 AM
Trade
View on kalshi →
sf trade KXLEADERMLBRUNS-26-JWOO yes 100