Will James Wood lead Pro Baseball in runs for the 2026 regular season?

4¢
Bid/Ask 0/4¢·Spread 4¢·Vol $0·OI $1·Closes Oct 22, 2026·186d remaining
KXLEADERMLBRUNS-26-JWOO

Analysis

AI-generated · updated daily

This market is severely illiquid with only $1 open interest and zero 24-hour volume, making the 4696.9% implied yield on the Yes side largely theoretical rather than actionable. The extreme yield disparity between Yes (4696.9%) and No (8.2%) suggests the 4¢ price reflects minimal conviction rather than genuine probability assessment, likely due to the market's ghost-town status. With 187 days to expiry and a Cliff Risk Index of 24, traders should be cautious about the reliability of this pricing given the negligible liquidity and potential for sharp repricing once meaningful volume emerges.

Resolution rules

If James Wood leads Pro Baseball in runs for the 2026 regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 4706.1%
IY (No) 8.2%
Adj IY 2353%
CRI 24
Overround 1.9%
▶ Full indicator table (5)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)4706.1%
IY (No)8.2%
Adj IY2353%
CRI24
Overround1.9%

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.5
Spread
4¢
Computed
4/19/2026, 10:49:09 AM
Indicators computed 4/19/2026, 10:38:32 AM

Trade

View on kalshisf trade KXLEADERMLBRUNS-26-JWOO yes 100

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