Will Mookie Betts lead Pro Baseball in runs for the 2026 regular season?

4¢
Bid/Ask 0/4¢·Spread 4¢·Vol $0·OI $1·Closes Oct 22, 2026·186d remaining
KXLEADERMLBRUNS-26-MBET

Analysis

AI-generated · updated daily

This market shows extreme illiquidity with only $1 open interest and zero 24-hour volume, making the 4¢ price potentially unreliable. The 4706% implied yield on the Yes side is a classic sign of minimal trading activity rather than genuine edge, while the 24-point Cliff Risk Index suggests resolution uncertainty that could complicate payouts. At face value, 4% probability for a perennial All-Star like Betts to lead baseball in runs seems underpriced, but the lack of liquidity means this is essentially a dead market unsuitable for meaningful positions.

Resolution rules

If Mookie Betts leads Pro Baseball in runs for the 2026 regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 4706.1%
IY (No) 8.2%
Adj IY 2353%
CRI 24
Overround 1.9%
▶ Full indicator table (5)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)4706.1%
IY (No)8.2%
Adj IY2353%
CRI24
Overround1.9%

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.5
Spread
4¢
Computed
4/19/2026, 10:47:44 AM
Indicators computed 4/19/2026, 10:38:32 AM

Trade

View on kalshisf trade KXLEADERMLBRUNS-26-MBET yes 100

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