Will Nico Hoerner lead Pro Baseball in runs for the 2026 regular season?

This market shows extreme illiquidity with only $1 open interest and zero 24-hour volume, making the 4¢ price largely theoretical rather than reflective of genuine market conviction. The implied yield on the Yes side reaches an astronomical 4691.9%, which is a mathematical artifact of the tiny position size rather than a realistic return expectation—this suggests no serious traders are backing Hoerner's chances despite the high nominal payout. With 187 days to expiry and a moderate Cliff Risk Index of 24, the market has adequate time for meaningful price discovery, but the near-zero liquidity makes this unsuitable for actual trading.

Resolution rules

If Nico Hoerner leads Pro Baseball in runs for the 2026 regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.

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