Will Nick Kurtz lead Pro Baseball in runs for the 2026 regular season?

This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume and only $352 open interest, making the 5¢ price potentially unreliable. The 3,717.8% implied yield on the Yes side is a red flag indicating the market is severely mispriced or reflects genuine skepticism about Kurtz's ability to lead MLB in runs—a feat requiring roughly 130+ runs that typically goes to elite position players, not a first baseman with limited track record. With 187 days to expiration and a wide 4¢ spread, this appears to be a speculative niche market with minimal liquidity that should be approached cautiously.

Resolution rules

If Nick Kurtz leads Pro Baseball in runs for the 2026 regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.

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