Will Roman Anthony lead Pro Baseball in runs for the 2026 regular season?

Roman Anthony's odds have surged 400% over the past week (1¢ to 5¢), though the market remains extremely illiquid with zero 24-hour volume and only $539 open interest, making the 3718% implied yield on Yes positions potentially misleading. At 5% probability, this reflects extreme skepticism about a prospect leading MLB in runs—a feat typically reserved for established stars—yet the sharp recent price movement and wide spread suggest either new information about Anthony's development or minimal market depth driving volatility. With 187 days to expiration and a Cliff Risk Index of 19, this is a speculative micro-market where position sizing should account for both illiquidity and the inherent difficulty of the outcome.

Resolution rules

If Roman Anthony leads Pro Baseball in runs for the 2026 regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.

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