Will Steven Kwan lead Pro Baseball in runs for the 2026 regular season?

This market shows extreme illiquidity with only $1 open interest and zero 24-hour volume, making the 4690% implied yield on the Yes side largely theoretical rather than actionable. The 4¢ price reflects a heavily discounted probability for Kwan to lead MLB in runs—a feat requiring him to substantially outpace elite baserunners—though the massive yield spread (4690% vs 8.1%) suggests the market may be mispricing tail risk given Kwan's modest career run totals. With 187 days to expiry and a Cliff Risk Index of 24, this appears to be a speculative niche market where any meaningful position would face severe slippage.

Resolution rules

If Steven Kwan leads Pro Baseball in runs for the 2026 regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.

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