Will Teoscar Hernández lead Pro Baseball in runs for the 2026 regular season?

4¢
Bid/Ask 0/4¢·Spread 4¢·Vol $0·OI $1·Closes Oct 22, 2026·186d remaining
KXLEADERMLBRUNS-26-THER

Analysis

AI-generated · updated daily

This market shows extreme illiquidity with only $1 open interest and zero 24-hour volume, making the 4¢ price potentially unreliable. The 4705% implied yield on the Yes side is a classic sign of minimal liquidity rather than genuine edge—such yields typically appear when tiny positions create outsized percentage returns. With 186 days to expiration and a 24 Cliff Risk Index, this market lacks sufficient depth for serious trading, though the neutral regime suggests no obvious directional bias in pricing.

Resolution rules

If Teoscar Hernández leads Pro Baseball in runs for the 2026 regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 4706.1%
IY (No) 8.2%
Adj IY 0%
CRI 24
Overround 1.9%
LAS 1.00
▶ Full indicator table (6)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)4706.1%
IY (No)8.2%
Adj IY0%
CRI24
Overround1.9%
LAS1.00

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.5
Spread
4¢
Computed
4/19/2026, 10:47:30 AM
Has orderbookIndicators computed 4/19/2026, 10:38:32 AM

Trade

View on kalshisf trade KXLEADERMLBRUNS-26-THER yes 100

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