Will Alex Morgan go on Call Her Daddy?

19¢mid

Bid/Ask 14/24¢·Spread 10¢·Vol $0·OI $0·Closes Jan 1, 2027·257d remaining

KXPODCASTGUESTCALLHERDADDY-27JAN-ALE

Analysis

AI-generated · updated daily

This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero volume and open interest, making the 0¢ price and 871.7% implied yield on the Yes side unreliable indicators of true probability. The 10¢ spread is unusually wide relative to the contract value, suggesting minimal market maker confidence and potential difficulty executing trades at posted prices. With 257 days to expiry and a Cliff Risk Index of 6, this appears to be a speculative long-shot contract that lacks sufficient trading activity to establish meaningful price discovery.

Resolution rules

If Alex Morgan goes on Call Her Daddy before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 871.9%

IY (No) 23.1%

Adj IY 125%

CRI 6

Overround 6.1%

LAS 0.71

▶ Full indicator table (6)

Indicator	Value	Meaning
IY (Yes)	871.9%	Annualized return if held to expiry, YES side
IY (No)	23.1%	Annualized return, NO side
Adj IY	125%	Risk-adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets and high friction
CRI	6	Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market approaches resolution
Overround	6.1%	Multi-outcome arb signal across the event family
LAS	0.71	Liquidity Availability Score

Regime

Label

neutral

Score

0.5

Spread

10¢

Computed

4/19/2026, 11:24:05 AM

Has orderbookIndicators computed 4/19/2026, 11:23:32 AM

Trade

View on kalshi →sf trade KXPODCASTGUESTCALLHERDADDY-27JAN-ALE yes 100

Related concepts

Implied Yield →Cliff Risk Index →