Will Anya Taylor-Joy go on Call Her Daddy?

12¢

Bid/Ask 11/21¢·Spread 10¢·Vol $0·OI $0·Closes Jan 1, 2027·257d remaining

KXPODCASTGUESTCALLHERDADDY-27JAN-ANY

Analysis

AI-generated · updated daily

This market shows severe illiquidity with zero volume and open interest despite a 257-day time horizon, making the 12¢ price potentially unreliable. The extreme 1148% implied yield on the Yes side and 10¢ spread suggest the market is either mispriced or simply inactive, with minimal trading activity to establish consensus. The neutral regime and flat 7-day price action indicate this is a dormant market lacking sufficient participant interest to generate meaningful price discovery.

Resolution rules

If Anya Taylor-Joy goes on Call Her Daddy before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 1148.4%

IY (No) 17.5%

Adj IY 574%

CRI 8

Overround 6.1%

▶ Full indicator table (5)

Indicator	Value	Meaning
IY (Yes)	1148.4%	Annualized return if held to expiry, YES side
IY (No)	17.5%	Annualized return, NO side
Adj IY	574%	Risk-adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets and high friction
CRI	8	Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market approaches resolution
Overround	6.1%	Multi-outcome arb signal across the event family

Regime

Label

neutral

Score

0.5

Spread

10¢

Computed

4/19/2026, 11:24:27 AM

Indicators computed 4/19/2026, 11:23:32 AM

Trade

View on kalshi →sf trade KXPODCASTGUESTCALLHERDADDY-27JAN-ANY yes 100

Related concepts

Implied Yield →Cliff Risk Index →