Will Bella Poarch go on Call Her Daddy?

11¢mid

Bid/Ask 6/16¢·Spread 10¢·Vol $0·OI $0·Closes Jan 1, 2027·257d remaining

KXPODCASTGUESTCALLHERDADDY-27JAN-BEL

Analysis

AI-generated · updated daily

This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero volume and open interest despite a 257-day time horizon, suggesting minimal trader interest in this specific outcome. The 0¢ price reflects near-zero conviction that Bella Poarch will appear on the podcast, though the astronomical 2223.7% implied yield on the Yes side indicates any small price movement would generate outsized returns—a classic sign of a dead market vulnerable to manipulation. The 10¢ spread and elevated Cliff Risk Index of 16 further underscore the lack of meaningful price discovery, making this unsuitable for serious position-taking.

Resolution rules

If Bella Poarch goes on Call Her Daddy before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 2223.7%

IY (No) 9.1%

Adj IY 1112%

CRI 16

Overround 6.1%

▶ Full indicator table (5)

Indicator	Value	Meaning
IY (Yes)	2223.7%	Annualized return if held to expiry, YES side
IY (No)	9.1%	Annualized return, NO side
Adj IY	1112%	Risk-adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets and high friction
CRI	16	Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market approaches resolution
Overround	6.1%	Multi-outcome arb signal across the event family

Regime

Label

neutral

Score

0.5

Spread

10¢

Computed

4/19/2026, 11:25:39 AM

Indicators computed 4/19/2026, 11:23:32 AM

Trade

View on kalshi →sf trade KXPODCASTGUESTCALLHERDADDY-27JAN-BEL yes 100

Related concepts

Implied Yield →Cliff Risk Index →