Will Britney Spears go on Call Her Daddy?

12¢

Bid/Ask 11/21¢·Spread 10¢·Vol $0·OI $11·Closes Jan 1, 2027·257d remaining

KXPODCASTGUESTCALLHERDADDY-27JAN-BRI

Analysis

AI-generated · updated daily

This market shows extreme illiquidity with only $11 open interest and zero 24-hour volume, making the 12¢ price potentially unreliable for serious trading. The 1145% implied yield on the Yes side is a classic symptom of thin markets where small positions create outsized percentage returns, though the 10¢ spread suggests significant uncertainty about fair value. With 258 days to expiry and a high cliff risk index of 8, this appears to be a speculative long-shot bet rather than an efficiently priced contract.

Resolution rules

If Britney Spears goes on Call Her Daddy before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 1148.4%

IY (No) 17.5%

Adj IY 574%

CRI 8

Overround 6.1%

▶ Full indicator table (5)

Indicator	Value	Meaning
IY (Yes)	1148.4%	Annualized return if held to expiry, YES side
IY (No)	17.5%	Annualized return, NO side
Adj IY	574%	Risk-adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets and high friction
CRI	8	Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market approaches resolution
Overround	6.1%	Multi-outcome arb signal across the event family

Regime

Label

neutral

Score

0.5

Spread

10¢

Computed

4/19/2026, 11:24:07 AM

Indicators computed 4/19/2026, 11:23:32 AM

Trade

View on kalshi →sf trade KXPODCASTGUESTCALLHERDADDY-27JAN-BRI yes 100

Related concepts

Implied Yield →Cliff Risk Index →