Will Caitlin Clark go on Call Her Daddy?

21¢

Bid/Ask 10/20¢·Spread 10¢·Vol $0·OI $13·Closes Jan 1, 2027·257d remaining

KXPODCASTGUESTCALLHERDADDY-27JAN-CAI

Analysis

AI-generated · updated daily

This market shows extreme illiquidity with only $13 open interest and zero 24-hour volume, making the 21¢ price potentially unreliable. The 1273% implied yield on the Yes side is a classic sign of a thin, low-conviction market where even small trades can distort pricing — the 10¢ spread represents 48% of the current price. With 258 days to expiration and a high cliff risk index of 9, this appears to be a speculative micro-market lacking sufficient depth for meaningful analysis.

Resolution rules

If Caitlin Clark goes on Call Her Daddy before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 1277.5%

IY (No) 15.8%

Adj IY 639%

CRI 9

Overround 6.1%

▶ Full indicator table (5)

Indicator	Value	Meaning
IY (Yes)	1277.5%	Annualized return if held to expiry, YES side
IY (No)	15.8%	Annualized return, NO side
Adj IY	639%	Risk-adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets and high friction
CRI	9	Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market approaches resolution
Overround	6.1%	Multi-outcome arb signal across the event family

Regime

Label

neutral

Score

0.5

Spread

10¢

Computed

4/19/2026, 11:25:49 AM

Indicators computed 4/19/2026, 11:23:32 AM

Trade

View on kalshi →sf trade KXPODCASTGUESTCALLHERDADDY-27JAN-CAI yes 100

Related concepts

Implied Yield →Cliff Risk Index →