Will Dua Lipa go on Call Her Daddy?

13¢

Bid/Ask 11/21¢·Spread 10¢·Vol $0·OI $11·Closes Jan 1, 2027·257d remaining

KXPODCASTGUESTCALLHERDADDY-27JAN-DUA

Analysis

AI-generated · updated daily

This market shows extreme illiquidity with just $11 open interest and zero 24-hour volume, making the 13¢ price potentially unreliable for serious trading. The 1147% implied yield on a Yes resolution reflects the tiny position size rather than genuine market conviction, while the 10¢ spread and high cliff risk index (8) suggest significant uncertainty about whether this appearance will materialize over the 257-day window. The flat 7-day price action at 11¢ indicates minimal recent trading activity, so this appears to be a speculative micro-position rather than an actively managed market.

Resolution rules

If Dua Lipa goes on Call Her Daddy before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 1148.4%

IY (No) 17.5%

Adj IY 574%

CRI 8

Overround 6.1%

▶ Full indicator table (5)

Indicator	Value	Meaning
IY (Yes)	1148.4%	Annualized return if held to expiry, YES side
IY (No)	17.5%	Annualized return, NO side
Adj IY	574%	Risk-adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets and high friction
CRI	8	Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market approaches resolution
Overround	6.1%	Multi-outcome arb signal across the event family

Regime

Label

neutral

Score

0.5

Spread

10¢

Computed

4/19/2026, 11:25:48 AM

Indicators computed 4/19/2026, 11:23:32 AM

Trade

View on kalshi →sf trade KXPODCASTGUESTCALLHERDADDY-27JAN-DUA yes 100

Related concepts

Implied Yield →Cliff Risk Index →