Will Florence Pugh go on Call Her Daddy?

This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero volume and open interest, making the 0¢ price potentially unreliable despite the massive 1148.4% implied yield on the Yes side. The 10¢ spread is notably wide relative to the contract value, and the astronomical yield suggests either severe mispricing or that traders are pricing in near-zero probability of Florence Pugh appearing on the podcast within 257 days. The neutral regime score and flat 7-day price action indicate minimal market conviction, so this contract should be approached cautiously given the lack of trading activity to validate the quoted price.

Resolution rules

If Florence Pugh goes on Call Her Daddy before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

Regime

Trade