Will Hailey Bieber go on Call Her Daddy?

37¢
Bid/Ask 27/37¢·Spread 10¢·Vol $0·OI $44.16·Closes Jan 1, 2027·257d remaining
KXPODCASTGUESTCALLHERDADDY-27JAN-HAI

Analysis

AI-generated · updated daily

This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume and minimal open interest of just $44.16, making the 37¢ price potentially unreliable for serious trading. The 383.8% implied yield on the Yes side is unusually high relative to the 257-day timeframe, suggesting either significant underpricing or very low conviction from market participants. The 10¢ spread and flat 7-day price action indicate this is a dormant market with minimal recent activity, making it difficult to assess whether current pricing reflects genuine probability assessment or simply reflects the lack of trading interest.

Resolution rules

If Hailey Bieber goes on Call Her Daddy before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 383.8%
IY (No) 52.5%
Adj IY 192%
CRI 3
Overround 6.1%
▶ Full indicator table (5)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)383.8%
IY (No)52.5%
Adj IY192%
CRI3
Overround6.1%

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.5
Spread
10¢
Computed
4/19/2026, 11:25:30 AM
Indicators computed 4/19/2026, 11:23:32 AM

Trade

View on kalshisf trade KXPODCASTGUESTCALLHERDADDY-27JAN-HAI yes 100

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