Will Jacob Elordi go on Call Her Daddy?

32¢

Bid/Ask 20/30¢·Spread 10¢·Vol $0·OI $199·Closes Jan 1, 2027·257d remaining

KXPODCASTGUESTCALLHERDADDY-27JAN-JAC

Analysis

AI-generated · updated daily

This market shows extremely illiquid conditions with zero 24-hour volume and just $199 open interest, making the 32¢ price potentially unreliable for serious trading. The asymmetric implied yields (567% for Yes vs 35% for No) suggest the market is pricing in either very low conviction or structural mispricing, though the wide 10¢ spread reflects the thin liquidity. With 258 days to expiry and no recent price movement, this appears to be a dormant niche market that would require significant new interest to generate meaningful trading activity.

Resolution rules

If Jacob Elordi goes on Call Her Daddy before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 567.8%

IY (No) 35.5%

Adj IY 284%

CRI 4

Overround 6.1%

▶ Full indicator table (5)

Indicator	Value	Meaning
IY (Yes)	567.8%	Annualized return if held to expiry, YES side
IY (No)	35.5%	Annualized return, NO side
Adj IY	284%	Risk-adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets and high friction
CRI	4	Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market approaches resolution
Overround	6.1%	Multi-outcome arb signal across the event family

Regime

Label

neutral

Score

0.5

Spread

10¢

Computed

4/19/2026, 11:24:21 AM

Indicators computed 4/19/2026, 11:23:32 AM

Trade

View on kalshi →sf trade KXPODCASTGUESTCALLHERDADDY-27JAN-JAC yes 100

Related concepts

Implied Yield →Cliff Risk Index →