Will Kylie Jenner go on Call Her Daddy?

40¢

Bid/Ask 28/38¢·Spread 10¢·Vol $0·OI $155·Closes Jan 1, 2027·257d remaining

KXPODCASTGUESTCALLHERDADDY-27JAN-KYL

Analysis

AI-generated · updated daily

This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume and only $155 in open interest, making the 40¢ price potentially unreliable for serious positioning. The 364% implied yield on the Yes side is notably inflated by the thin liquidity and wide 10¢ spread, suggesting the true probability may differ significantly from the 40% quote. With 258 days to expiry and a celebrity appearance as the resolution criterion, this remains a speculative micro-market best suited for small positions only.

Resolution rules

If Kylie Jenner goes on Call Her Daddy before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 365.0%

IY (No) 55.2%

Adj IY 182%

CRI 3

Overround 6.1%

▶ Full indicator table (5)

Indicator	Value	Meaning
IY (Yes)	365.0%	Annualized return if held to expiry, YES side
IY (No)	55.2%	Annualized return, NO side
Adj IY	182%	Risk-adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets and high friction
CRI	3	Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market approaches resolution
Overround	6.1%	Multi-outcome arb signal across the event family

Regime

Label

neutral

Score

0.5

Spread

10¢

Computed

4/19/2026, 11:25:59 AM

Indicators computed 4/19/2026, 11:23:32 AM

Trade

View on kalshi →sf trade KXPODCASTGUESTCALLHERDADDY-27JAN-KYL yes 100

Related concepts

Implied Yield →Cliff Risk Index →