Will Madelyn Cline go on Call Her Daddy?

38¢
Bid/Ask 35/45¢·Spread 10¢·Vol $0·OI $19·Closes Jan 1, 2027·257d remaining
KXPODCASTGUESTCALLHERDADDY-27JAN-MAD

Analysis

AI-generated · updated daily

This illiquid micro-market shows minimal trading activity with just $19 open interest and zero 24-hour volume, making the 38¢ price potentially unreliable. The extremely high implied yield of 263% on the Yes side suggests either significant mispricing or that traders are demanding substantial compensation for the binary risk of a celebrity appearance over a 258-day window. The flat 7-day price action and wide 10¢ spread indicate low conviction among participants, so this contract should be treated as a speculative position rather than a reliable probability estimate.

Resolution rules

If Madelyn Cline goes on Call Her Daddy before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 263.6%
IY (No) 76.4%
Adj IY 132%
CRI 2
Overround 6.1%
▶ Full indicator table (5)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)263.6%
IY (No)76.4%
Adj IY132%
CRI2
Overround6.1%

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.5
Spread
10¢
Computed
4/19/2026, 11:24:06 AM
Indicators computed 4/19/2026, 11:23:32 AM

Trade

View on kalshisf trade KXPODCASTGUESTCALLHERDADDY-27JAN-MAD yes 100

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