Will Margot Robbie go on Call Her Daddy?

14¢

Bid/Ask 13/22¢·Spread 9¢·Vol $0·OI $268·Closes Jan 1, 2027·257d remaining

KXPODCASTGUESTCALLHERDADDY-27JAN-MAR

Analysis

AI-generated · updated daily

This illiquid niche market is pricing Margot Robbie's appearance on Call Her Daddy at just 14¢ with minimal trading activity ($0 in 24h volume) and only $268 open interest, making the 949.9% implied yield on the Yes side largely theoretical rather than actionable. The 9¢ spread is substantial relative to the price, and the market has shown no movement over seven days despite 257 days to expiry, suggesting limited participant conviction either way. The moderate cliff risk index of 7 and neutral regime indicate this is a speculative bet with genuine uncertainty rather than a market responding to recent news or momentum.

Resolution rules

If Margot Robbie goes on Call Her Daddy before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 949.9%

IY (No) 21.2%

Adj IY 475%

CRI 7

Overround 6.1%

▶ Full indicator table (5)

Indicator	Value	Meaning
IY (Yes)	949.9%	Annualized return if held to expiry, YES side
IY (No)	21.2%	Annualized return, NO side
Adj IY	475%	Risk-adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets and high friction
CRI	7	Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market approaches resolution
Overround	6.1%	Multi-outcome arb signal across the event family

Regime

Label

neutral

Score

0.5

Spread

9¢

Computed

4/19/2026, 11:24:50 AM

Indicators computed 4/19/2026, 11:23:32 AM

Trade

View on kalshi →sf trade KXPODCASTGUESTCALLHERDADDY-27JAN-MAR yes 100

Related concepts

Implied Yield →Cliff Risk Index →