Will Rihanna go on Call Her Daddy?

This market is pricing an extremely low 10% probability for a celebrity podcast appearance over a roughly 2-year window, which seems conservative given Rihanna's history of media engagement and the show's prominence. The $83 open interest with zero 24-hour volume and a wide 9¢ spread indicates severe illiquidity, making any position difficult to exit at fair value. The stagnant 7-day price action (flat at 1¢) suggests minimal trader conviction, though the 9¢ gap between bid-ask represents a significant friction cost relative to the contract's current value.

Resolution rules

If Rihanna goes on Call Her Daddy before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

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