Will Sydney Sweeney go on Call Her Daddy?

47¢

Bid/Ask 35/45¢·Spread 10¢·Vol $0·OI $91·Closes Jan 1, 2027·257d remaining

KXPODCASTGUESTCALLHERDADDY-27JAN-SYD

7-day price3 snapshots · 6 regime

Analysis

AI-generated · updated daily

This market shows minimal activity with zero 24-hour volume and just $91 open interest, making the 47¢ price potentially unreliable for serious positioning. The asymmetric implied yields (263.6% for Yes vs. 76.4% for No) suggest the market is pricing in significant tail risk, though the wide 10¢ spread and stagnant 7-day price action indicate low conviction among traders. With 257 days to expiry and a low Cliff Risk Index of 2, there's ample time for new information, but the illiquidity means any meaningful bet could move prices substantially.

Resolution rules

If Sydney Sweeney goes on Call Her Daddy before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 263.6%

IY (No) 76.4%

Adj IY 132%

CRI 2

Overround 6.1%

▶ Full indicator table (5)

Indicator	Value	Meaning
IY (Yes)	263.6%	Annualized return if held to expiry, YES side
IY (No)	76.4%	Annualized return, NO side
Adj IY	132%	Risk-adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets and high friction
CRI	2	Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market approaches resolution
Overround	6.1%	Multi-outcome arb signal across the event family

Regime

Label

neutral

Score

0.5

Spread

10¢

Computed

4/19/2026, 11:24:55 AM

Indicators computed 4/19/2026, 11:23:32 AM

Trade

View on kalshi →sf trade KXPODCASTGUESTCALLHERDADDY-27JAN-SYD yes 100

Related concepts

Implied Yield →Cliff Risk Index →