Will Tate McRae go on Call Her Daddy?

36¢

Bid/Ask 24/34¢·Spread 10¢·Vol $0·OI $174·Closes Jan 1, 2027·257d remaining

KXPODCASTGUESTCALLHERDADDY-27JAN-TAT

Analysis

AI-generated · updated daily

This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume and only $174 open interest, making the 36¢ price potentially unreliable for serious trading. The 449.5% implied yield on the Yes side is exceptionally high and likely reflects the thin liquidity rather than genuine market consensus, while the 10¢ spread is substantial relative to the contract value. With 257 days to expiry and a neutral regime, this appears to be a speculative niche market where any actual trade could significantly move the price.

Resolution rules

If Tate McRae goes on Call Her Daddy before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 449.5%

IY (No) 44.8%

Adj IY 225%

CRI 3

Overround 6.1%

▶ Full indicator table (5)

Indicator	Value	Meaning
IY (Yes)	449.5%	Annualized return if held to expiry, YES side
IY (No)	44.8%	Annualized return, NO side
Adj IY	225%	Risk-adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets and high friction
CRI	3	Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market approaches resolution
Overround	6.1%	Multi-outcome arb signal across the event family

Regime

Label

neutral

Score

0.5

Spread

10¢

Computed

4/19/2026, 11:24:21 AM

Indicators computed 4/19/2026, 11:23:32 AM

Trade

View on kalshi →sf trade KXPODCASTGUESTCALLHERDADDY-27JAN-TAT yes 100

Related concepts

Implied Yield →Cliff Risk Index →