Will Taylor Swift go on Call Her Daddy?

14¢

Bid/Ask 4/15¢·Spread 11¢·Vol $0·OI $125·Closes Jan 1, 2027·257d remaining

KXPODCASTGUESTCALLHERDADDY-27JAN-TAY

Analysis

AI-generated · updated daily

This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume and only $125 open interest, making the 14¢ price potentially unreliable. The 3400.9% implied yield on the Yes side is a classic sign of minimal trading activity and wide 11¢ spreads rather than genuine arbitrage opportunity. With 258 days to expiry and a moderate 24 Cliff Risk Index, this appears to be a speculative position with very thin order books rather than an efficiently-priced prediction.

Resolution rules

If Taylor Swift goes on Call Her Daddy before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 3406.6%

IY (No) 5.9%

Adj IY 1703%

CRI 24

Overround 6.1%

▶ Full indicator table (5)

Indicator	Value	Meaning
IY (Yes)	3406.6%	Annualized return if held to expiry, YES side
IY (No)	5.9%	Annualized return, NO side
Adj IY	1703%	Risk-adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets and high friction
CRI	24	Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market approaches resolution
Overround	6.1%	Multi-outcome arb signal across the event family

Regime

Label

neutral

Score

0.5

Spread

11¢

Computed

4/19/2026, 11:24:50 AM

Indicators computed 4/19/2026, 11:23:32 AM

Trade

View on kalshi →sf trade KXPODCASTGUESTCALLHERDADDY-27JAN-TAY yes 100

Related concepts

Implied Yield →Cliff Risk Index →