Remo wins by over 1.5 goals?

5¢mid
Bid/Ask 4/5¢·Spread 1¢·Vol $0·OI $0·Closes May 3, 2026·14d remaining
KXBRASILEIROSPREAD-26APR19RBBCR-CR1
7-day price239 snapshots · 5 regime
4¢1¢Apr 13Apr 19

Analysis

AI-generated · updated daily

This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume and open interest, making the 0¢ price unreliable despite the theoretical 60,614% implied yield on a Yes position. The 8,486% realized volatility and recent price movement from 2¢ to 4¢ suggest minimal trading activity is causing outsized swings, while the 14-day expiry and high cliff risk index (24) indicate resolution is imminent for a Bragantino vs Remo match originally scheduled for April 19, 2026. The extreme yield figures are artifacts of near-zero pricing in an illiquid market rather than genuine arbitrage opportunities.

Resolution rules

If Remo wins by more than 1.5 goals in the Bragantino vs Remo professional Brasileiro soccer game originally scheduled for Apr 19, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 60875.6%
IY (No) 105.7%
Adj IY 45657%
CRI 24
RV 8486%
VR 1.16
▶ Full indicator table (9)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)60875.6%
IY (No)105.7%
Adj IY45657%
CRI24
RV8486%
VR1.16
IAR1.5/h
Overround-0.4%
LAS0.25

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.5
Spread
1¢
Computed
4/19/2026, 12:18:35 PM
Has orderbookIndicators computed 4/19/2026, 12:08:48 PM

Trade

View on kalshisf trade KXBRASILEIROSPREAD-26APR19RBBCR-CR1 yes 100

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