Will Fleetwood Mac be 1 on the Any Spotify Daily Top Songs USA chart in April 2026?

4¢

Bid/Ask 0/1¢·Spread 1¢·Vol $0·OI $431.76·Closes May 1, 2026·12d remaining

KXRANKLISTSONGSPOTUSA-26MAY01-FLE

Analysis

AI-generated · updated daily

This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume and minimal open interest of $431.76, making the 4¢ price potentially unreliable. The astronomical implied yield of 68,851% on the Yes side signals either a severe mispricing or that traders are pricing in near-zero probability for a legacy act like Fleetwood Mac to top Spotify's daily USA chart in April 2026—a feat that would require a major cultural event like a reunion or viral moment. With only 13 days until expiry and a Cliff Risk Index of 24, this appears to be a speculative tail-risk bet with minimal market depth rather than a liquid prediction.

Resolution rules

If Fleetwood Mac has a #1 song on Any Spotify Daily Top Songs USA chart in April 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 72217.6%

IY (No) 125.4%

Adj IY 27082%

CRI 24

Overround 0.2%

LAS 0.25

▶ Full indicator table (6)

Indicator	Value	Meaning
IY (Yes)	72217.6%	Annualized return if held to expiry, YES side
IY (No)	125.4%	Annualized return, NO side
Adj IY	27082%	Risk-adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets and high friction
CRI	24	Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market approaches resolution
Overround	0.2%	Multi-outcome arb signal across the event family
LAS	0.25	Liquidity Availability Score

Regime

Label

neutral

Score

0.5

Spread

1¢

Computed

4/19/2026, 10:55:04 AM

Observability highEvent type cultural

Has orderbookIndicators computed 4/19/2026, 10:53:34 AM

Trade

View on kalshi →sf trade KXRANKLISTSONGSPOTUSA-26MAY01-FLE yes 100

Related concepts

Implied Yield →Cliff Risk Index →