Will Simone Biles go on Call Her Daddy?

This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero volume and open interest, making the 4588% implied yield on the Yes side largely theoretical rather than actionable. The 10¢ spread and 0¢ current price suggest minimal trader conviction either direction, though the sharp yield differential indicates the market is pricing in a very low probability event with substantial uncertainty baked in. With 257 days to expiry and a Cliff Risk Index of 32, traders should be cautious about the reliability of these odds given the thin market conditions.

Resolution rules

If Simone Biles goes on Call Her Daddy before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

Regime

Trade