Will Spain GDP growth rate YoY flash for Q1 2026 be above 1.4%?

93¢mid

Bid/Ask 87/98¢·Spread 11¢·Vol $0·OI $0·Closes Apr 30, 2026·11d remaining

KXESGDPYOYF-26APR30-T1.4

7-day price4 snapshots · 4 regime

Analysis

AI-generated · updated daily

This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero volume and open interest despite an 11-cent spread, suggesting it may be inactive or newly listed. The price has surged 181% over seven days from 31¢ to 87¢, yet the 0% current price contradicts this movement data and implies severe data inconsistency or a display error. With only 11 days to resolution and a high cliff risk index of 7, this market appears unreliable for trading and warrants verification of its actual current state before any position-taking.

Resolution rules

If Spain GDP growth rate YoY flash for Q1 2026 is above 1.4 , then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 503.3%

IY (No) 22540.3%

Adj IY 9846%

CRI 7

Overround 5.0%

LAS 0.13

▶ Full indicator table (6)

Indicator	Value	Meaning
IY (Yes)	503.3%	Annualized return if held to expiry, YES side
IY (No)	22540.3%	Annualized return, NO side
Adj IY	9846%	Risk-adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets and high friction
CRI	7	Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market approaches resolution
Overround	5.0%	Multi-outcome arb signal across the event family
LAS	0.13	Liquidity Availability Score

Regime

Label

neutral

Score

0.568

Spread

11¢

Computed

4/19/2026, 10:54:49 AM

Observability highEvent type data_release

Has orderbookIndicators computed 4/19/2026, 10:53:34 AM

Trade

View on kalshi →sf trade KXESGDPYOYF-26APR30-T1.4 yes 100

Related concepts

Implied Yield →Cliff Risk Index →