SimpleFunctions
Hot

other · captured 2026-07-30 · with live markets

Andrew Garfield

British-American actor

By SimpleFunctions· Last verified 30 Jul 2026Methodology

Wikidata Q23891

Velocity· 2d

Why now

Andrew Garfield recently weighed in on the controversy surrounding Amazon's decision to drop "Artificial," a film about Sam Altman and OpenAI. According to reports in Variety and The Hollywood Reporter, Garfield expressed his perspective on the studio's move, reflecting broader tensions in Hollywood over AI-related projects and their viability in the current market environment.

Live prediction markets

1 event of 2

  • 01

    Which characters will appear in Avengers: Doomsday?: Andrew Garfield as Spider-Man

    Polymarket · ticker 0x07eaadb00e3996a0877b0242b702391addfe50

    12¢

    $0 24h vol

Prediction markets currently price Andrew Garfield as Spider-Man in Avengers: Doomsday at 12¢ on Polymarket with minimal 24-hour trading volume, reflecting market uncertainty about his MCU involvement despite fan interest and prior Spider-Man appearances.

More related markets

Additional contracts whose title fuzzy-matches this entity. Less direct than the bound markets above.

Top news

What to watch

Monitor whether Garfield's involvement in upcoming MCU projects materializes by 2025. The actor's Spider-Man return remains speculative, with recent speculation centering on his potential appearance in "Avengers: Doomsday." Industry observers will track casting announcements and Marvel's official statements regarding multiverse characters through Q1 2025.

Tracked since

2026-07-04

Latest snapshot: 2026-07-30

2 observations from trends_us

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.

Last updated on this page: 2 d ago.