other · captured 2026-08-01 · with live markets
Arthur Gea
French tennisman
Wikidata Q120721961
Why now
Arthur Gea has defeated Francisco Cerundolo at the Los Cabos Open 2026, according to ATP Tour reports. The French player's upset victory over a higher-ranked opponent demonstrates improved performance at tour level. With Shapovalov advancing to the semifinals through consecutive Los Cabos wins, the tournament shows strong competition and emerging talent breakthroughs.
Live prediction markets
1 event
- 01
Los Cabos Open: Coleman Wong vs Arthur Gea: Los Cabos Open: Coleman Wong vs Arthur Gea Match O/U 22.5
Polymarket · ticker 0x34a98954a224474aa239d16f0d1aa235f27443
54¢$34 24h vol
The Gea versus Wong match at Los Cabos Open shows 54 cents pricing on Polymarket with $34 in 24-hour volume, indicating modest but active trading interest. This market activity reflects trader assessment of Gea's emerging form following his recent upset and expectations for his continued performance at the tournament.
More related markets
Additional contracts whose title fuzzy-matches this entity. Less direct than the bound markets above.
Top news
What to watch
Gea faces Coleman Wong in an upcoming Los Cabos Open match. The contest carries a match total Over/Under of 22.5 games, reflecting expectations for competitive play. Monitor whether Gea maintains momentum from his Cerundolo victory and whether match duration aligns with the 22.5 games line as the tournament progresses.
Tracked since
2026-08-01
Latest snapshot: 2026-08-01
1 observation from trends_us
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.
Last updated on this page: 17 h ago.