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event · captured 2026-06-28 · with live markets

Iran at FIFA World Cup 2026

The query and headlines reference Iran's participation and treatment at the 2026 FIFA World Cup tournament. This is a specific sporting event involving a national team at a major international competition. The controversy involves Iran's captain and coach making statements about their team's treatment during the tournament, making this a particular event rather than a general topic.

By SimpleFunctions· Last verified 28 Jun 2026Methodology
Velocity· first seen 2026-06-28

Why now

Iran's captain and coach have publicly criticized FIFA and tournament hosts over their team's treatment during World Cup 2026, with captain Mehdi Taremi claiming the competition is a 'disaster' where his team receives no assistance. These complaints, reported by The Athletic and covered by USA Today and The Guardian, highlight diplomatic tensions surrounding Iran's participation at the tournament and raise questions about consistency in how different nations are supported during the competition.

Live prediction markets

2 events of 3

Iran's status as a non-top-10 ranked team directly impacts prediction markets: the 'Will any country not ranked in the top 10 reach the 2026 World Cup semifinals?' contract trades at 64¢ on Kalshi with $18,977 in 24-hour volume, reflecting investor assessment of underdog performance odds throughout the tournament.

More related markets

Additional contracts whose title fuzzy-matches this entity. Less direct than the bound markets above.

Top news

What to watch

The tournament runs through December 2026 in the United States. Investors track whether Iran advances past the group stage and how the team's performance compares to expectations. Iran ranks outside the top 10 in current FIFA standings, making their potential semifinal run particularly relevant to broader tournament outcomes and underdog narratives.

Tracked since

2026-06-28

Latest snapshot: 2026-06-28

1 observation from trends_us

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.

Last updated on this page: 11 d ago.