SimpleFunctions
Hot

other · captured 2026-04-26

Kodai Senga

Japanese baseball player

By SimpleFunctions· Last verified 26 Apr 2026Methodology

Wikidata Q11406818

Velocity· first seen 2026-04-26

Why now

Senga's recent struggles have intensified scrutiny of his role within the Mets' rotation. According to the New York Post, the pitcher is running short on opportunities to demonstrate consistency as the organization has capable pitchers waiting in reserve. Friday's loss to the Cubs, where Senga was ineffective, has added to concerns about his ability to deliver in critical games. The 31-year-old right-hander, acquired for significant investment, must now show he can translate his occasional strong performances into sustained success or risk losing his prominent position in the team's plans.

Top news

What to watch

Senga's next start will be crucial in determining his role with the Mets through the remainder of the season. Watch for whether he can return to form and justify continued confidence from management. His pitching matchups over the next 30 days will be critical. Additionally, monitor whether the Mets consider roster changes, as suggested by recent trade speculation about repositioning their roster depth behind established players.

Tracked since

2026-04-26

Latest snapshot: 2026-04-26

1 observation from trends_us

Continue

How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.

Last updated on this page: 28 d ago.