other · captured 2026-07-31 · with live markets
Mark Ruffalo
American actor (born 1967)
Wikidata Q41422
Why now
Recent reports suggest Mark Ruffalo's Hulk may return in upcoming Spider-Man 4 and Avengers: Doomsday projects. Yahoo and Comic Basics have highlighted questions around whether the character will appear in the Avengers: Doomsday film, reigniting speculation about Ruffalo's role in Marvel's next major team-up event. This uncertainty has driven trader interest in predicting his involvement.
Live prediction markets
1 event
- 01
Which characters will appear in Avengers: Doomsday?: Mark Ruffalo as Hulk
Polymarket · ticker 0xd6696b1f8f76b02c28b1ad2288da9080cdb5f1
26¢$2 24h vol
Mark Ruffalo's Avengers: Doomsday appearance trades at 26¢ on Polymarket with $2 in 24-hour volume, reflecting moderate trader conviction about his return. Movements in this market often correlate with broader MCU sentiment and ensemble cast completeness expectations.
Top news
What to watch
Avengers: Doomsday is slated for theatrical release in May 2026. Current prediction market odds show Mark Ruffalo as Hulk at 26¢ on Polymarket. Watch for official Marvel announcements at Comic-Con or D23 Expo, or casting confirmations from entertainment news outlets before principal photography wraps, which typically occurs 12-18 months before release.
Tracked since
2026-07-31
Latest snapshot: 2026-07-31
1 observation from trends_us
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.
Last updated on this page: 1 d ago.