Tie to win Seattle vs Portland
Tie is priced at 18¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 17¢ bid, 18¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 3 inside Seattle vs Portland Winner.
Price history
18¢ current
+8¢Contract brief
If Tie is the result of the Seattle vs Portland professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for Jul 16, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Tie
Rank
#2 of 3
Leader
Seattle 66¢
Range
15¢-66¢
Family volume
$2K
Identifier
KXMLSGAME-26JUL16SEAPOR-TIE
Jul 12, 2026, 10:38 PM UTC · 25m ago
Implied probability
Bid
17¢
Ask
18¢
Spread
1¢
24h volume
$1K
Family rank
#2 of 3
3 outcomes · Seattle vs Portland Winner
Closes
Jul 31, 2026
Family volume
$2K
Orderbook snapshot
17 / 18¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Tie is the result of the Seattle vs Portland professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for Jul 16, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jul 31, 2026
Identifier
KXMLSGAME-26JUL16SEAPOR-TIE
Event family
Seattle vs Portland Winner.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$2K
Outcomes
3
Highest price
Seattle 66¢
Current share
53%
Browse this series
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.